Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, image 1 of 11 / 1
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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

in Papers I Reread by Lena Carver

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases on “Papers I Reread”, a list by Lena Carver on TheLysts.

Details

Photo
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Name
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Field
Cognitive psychology
Year
1974
Lead author
Amos Tversky
Core idea
We use mental shortcuts—like representativeness and availability—that systematically warp our judgments under uncertainty.
Why it hooked me
Feels like someone ran controlled experiments on every hot take in a group chat.
Best for
Catching yourself (and other people) making very confident, very wrong predictions.
Length feel
Dense classic article, but the examples keep it surprisingly readable.
Vibe
Dry wit disguised as lab data; quietly roasting human intuition.
Nerdy flex
“This is pure availability bias” is my version of small talk at work.