Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk, image 1 of 11 / 1
Item

Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk

in Papers I Reread by Lena Carver

Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk on “Papers I Reread”, a list by Lena Carver on TheLysts.

Details

Photo
—
Name
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Field
Behavioral economics / psychology
Year
1979
Lead author
Daniel Kahneman
Core idea
People value gains and losses asymmetrically and hate losing more than they like winning, breaking classic expected utility theory.
Why it hooked me
Reads like someone finally quantified every bad sports bet and publishing gut-call I’ve ever seen.
Best for
Reframing how you think about risk, pricing, and why people cling to losing strategies.
Length feel
Long but modular—can graze the key sections without swallowing the whole thing at once.
Vibe
Calm, devastating, politely overturning the table on “rational actor” models.
Nerdy flex
Casually drop “loss aversion” and “value function concavity” into a meeting and watch eyes widen.