Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk, image 1 of 11 / 1
Item

Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk

in Stuff I Keep Rereading by Diego Navarro

Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk on “Stuff I Keep Rereading”, a list by Diego Navarro on TheLysts.

Details

Photo
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Name
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Field
Behavioral economics
Year
1979
Author(s)
Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky
Core idea
People value gains and losses asymmetrically, evaluate outcomes relative to a reference point, and overweight low probabilities.
Why I care
Any time someone asks why users won’t switch to our clearly better thing, I mentally pull up this paper; it explains loss aversion and status quo bias better than any slide I’ve ever made.
Great for
Pricing changes, migration plans, churn prevention, and messaging around “upgrade” flows instead of hard switches.
Key concept to Google
Value function and loss aversion in prospect theory
Difficulty
Medium—mathy in spots but the intuition is gold once you push through.