- Photo
- —
- Name
- —
- Paper title
- The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences
- Authors
- Thomas Gilovich, Robert Vallone, Amos Tversky
- Year
- 1985
- Main topic
- Hot hand fallacy and shooting streaks
- Sport / context
- NBA and basketball shooting data
- Key idea in one line
- What looks like a shooter on fire is often just random variance dressed up as momentum.
- Level to read
- Intermediate – some stats, but the story carries you.
- My take
- This is the classic ‘your uncle yelling shoot is wrong’ paper. Made me way more skeptical of “he’s due” takes from the upper bowl.
TheLysts