Regression Toward the Mean

Details

Photo

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Name

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Authors

Francis Galton

Year

1886

Field

Statistics / Social science

Why it stuck

Explains why your breakout rec-league game (or that one insane shooting night) almost never repeats — the math behind “you’re probably not actually Steph.”

My take

Any time I drop 20 in a game, I reread this just to emotionally prepare for the 4-point clunker coming next; it’s basically therapy with scatterplots.