Expected Possession Value in the NBA on “Sports Analytics Papers I Keep Rereading”, a list by Andre Coleman on TheLysts.
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This is the shot-quality bible. Every time a guy in my league jacks up a stepback three at 4 seconds left I mentally deduct points using this framework. Petty? Absolutely.
Title
Quantifying Shot Quality in the NBA
Authors
Alexander Franks, Andrew Miller, Luke Bornn, Kirk Goldsberry