The Understat Revolution: Using xG to Predict Football Match Outcomes, image 1 of 11 / 1
Item

The Understat Revolution: Using xG to Predict Football Match Outcomes

in Papers I Keep Replaying by Cormac Kelleher

Like this itemFollow Cormac KelleherOpen in app

The Understat Revolution: Using xG to Predict Football Match Outcomes on “Papers I Keep Replaying”, a list by Cormac Kelleher on TheLysts.

Details

Photo
—
Name
—
Year
2017
Sport / Domain
Football analytics
Key Idea
Shows how expected goals beats shots and possession for predicting results over a season.
One Concrete Detail
Looks at more than 10 seasons of European league data to test different models.
My take
The first time I realised a 25-yard screamer and a six-yard tap-in can’t be treated the same in a spreadsheet.

Related items

Fragilidade no idoso de consultórioRevisiting The HallmarksThe CRASH-2 trial collaborators. Effects of tranexamic acid on death, vascular occlusive events, and blood transfusion in trauma patientsRivers E. Early goal-directed therapy in the treatment of severe sepsis and septic shock