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The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences

in Papers on how sport actually works by Luis Calderon

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The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences on “Papers on how sport actually works”, a list by Luis Calderon on TheLysts.

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Photo
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Name
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Comment
Ruined 'he's heating up' for me at every pickup run since. Still say it anyway.
Title
The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences
Author(s)
Thomas Gilovich, Robert Vallone, Amos Tversky
Year
1985
Field
Cognitive psychology / sports statistics
Key Finding
Players and fans see streaks in shooting data that are statistically indistinguishable from random sequences.
Why It Matters
Foundational paper for every argument about clutch shooters that follows
Difficulty
Moderate, some stats background helps

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